Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 7.047937e-01 0.898848 1.116583 1.376248 1.674753 2.004559 2.393852
2025-08-24 4.628679e-01 0.714239 1.030890 1.446430 1.964912 2.578737 3.348347
2025-08-31 2.896505e-01 0.550842 0.921541 1.453710 2.166745 3.059900 4.233373
2025-09-07 2.007579e-01 0.467847 0.890457 1.544443 2.470976 3.681348 5.325723
2025-09-14 1.348476e-01 0.392200 0.847132 1.602691 2.727626 4.250878 6.378507
2025-09-21 8.622653e-02 0.322745 0.792750 1.629068 2.932850 4.755774 7.364114
2025-09-28 4.909085e-02 0.252660 0.715578 1.601778 3.048827 5.136159 8.192008
2025-10-05 2.962217e-02 0.211206 0.678788 1.631330 3.246214 5.633441 9.190454
2025-10-12 1.632342e-02 0.173558 0.637135 1.642639 3.410291 6.084311 10.134053
2025-10-19 6.811445e-03 0.132035 0.570784 1.594979 3.470107 6.378852 10.861474
2025-10-26 2.300925e-03 0.100845 0.516398 1.558955 3.541625 6.688321 11.613773
2025-11-02 6.873000e-04 0.082089 0.488094 1.570087 3.691508 7.119334 12.549796
2025-11-09 4.100309e-05 0.059587 0.436468 1.523910 3.739654 7.399838 13.283741
2025-11-16 4.653061e-07 0.052532 0.435972 1.593288 4.001455 8.026786 14.547835
2025-11-23 NaN 0.040985 0.410142 1.598087 4.142619 8.464596 15.539178
2025-11-30 NaN 0.037970 0.420579 1.693302 4.459426 9.195268 16.986911
2025-12-07 NaN 0.032940 0.417967 1.754520 4.713166 9.829029 18.299193
2025-12-14 NaN 0.026668 0.403529 1.782170 4.901846 10.359709 19.463316
2025-12-21 NaN 0.018855 0.370421 1.752922 4.974446 10.697762 20.336487
2025-12-28 NaN 0.015070 0.359690 1.784254 5.169609 11.245201 21.541749
2026-01-04 NaN 0.011350 0.343462 1.796227 5.324230 11.726076 22.649581
2026-01-11 NaN 0.006924 0.309030 1.745500 5.343427 11.974005 23.395271
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004078 0.280740 1.707146 5.384628 12.258814 24.201869